Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$544K volume
28.5%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 5m ago
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Live prediction market odds for "FDA approves Retatrutide this year?". Yes is leading at 28.5%. Total volume is $544K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Yes
28.5%
Total Vol
$544K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "FDA approves Retatrutide this year?". Yes is leading at 28.5%. Total volume is $544K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
52%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.032 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 7 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
119h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
119h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Why Fitness Bros Are Buzzing About the New Weight-Loss Peptide Retatrutide - GQ
GQ·2d ago·neutral
Why Fitness Bros Are Buzzing About the New Weight-Loss Peptide Retatrutide
Bing News·2d ago·neutral
FDA Approves New GLP-1 Weight Loss Pill from Eli Lilly
Bing News·4d ago·bullish
What to know about new ‘triple-G’ drug that’s helped patients lose a quarter of their body weight - New York Post
New York Post·4d ago·neutral
What to know about new ‘triple-G’ drug that’s helped patients lose a quarter of their body weight
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
Related Other Markets
US forces enter Iran by..?
Lead 99.8% · December 31
Vol $175.5M
Netanyahu out by...?
Lead 39.5% · December 31
Vol $114.4M
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
Lead 74.5% · December 31
Vol $100.3M
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
Lead 0.1% · 75
Vol $84.2M
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Lead 66.0% · Delcy Rodríguez
Vol $80.3M
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Lead 100.0% · Yes
Vol $74.5M