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Live marketEnds Apr 28, 2027 (1y 22d)Updated 8m ago

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Apr 2027?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 73.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut >25bps at 23.0%. Total volume is $7K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 28, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Fed maintains rate
73.0%
Total Vol
$7K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Fed maintains rate
$5K volume
73.0%
—
Cut >25bps
$6 volume
23.0%
—
Hike 25bps
$60 volume
8.0%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Apr 2027?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 73.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut >25bps at 23.0%. Total volume is $7K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 28, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Apr 28, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

57%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.107 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 33 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
348h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
348h
Avg Sentiment
-0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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