Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Fed maintains rate
$3K volume
68.0%
—
Cut 25bps
$2K volume
26.0%
—
Hike 25bps
$180 volume
5.0%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 9, 2026 (8mo)Updated 14m ago
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Dec 2026?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 68.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut 25bps at 26.0%. Total volume is $7K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 9, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Fed maintains rate
68.0%
Total Vol
$7K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Dec 2026?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 68.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut 25bps at 26.0%. Total volume is $7K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 9, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 9, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 11 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
439h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
439h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
The Fed Held Rates Again: Why Long-Term Investors May Not Need to Do Anything
Bing News·1d ago·neutral
One Fed Rate Cut for 2026? ETFs in Focus
Bing News·17d ago·bearish
The Fed's 2026 outlook just shifted—and it looks like good news for savers
Bing News·18d ago·neutral
Fed holds interest rates steady amid Iran war, rising oil prices
Bing News·18d ago·neutral
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, citing economic uncertainty
Bing News·18d ago·neutral
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