Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
No change
$88K volume
80.5%
—
25 bps decrease
$73K volume
13.5%
—
25 bps increase
$2.9M volume
3.9%
—
50+ bps decrease
$89K volume
1.8%
—
50+ bps increase
$122K volume
0.5%
—
Live marketEnds Jul 29, 2026 (3mo)Updated 15m ago
Fed Decision in July?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed Decision in July?". No change is leading at 80.5%. The next most likely outcome is 25 bps decrease at 13.5%. Total volume is $3.3M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jul 29, 2026.
Leading Outcome
No change
80.5%
Total Vol
$3.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed Decision in July?". No change is leading at 80.5%. The next most likely outcome is 25 bps decrease at 13.5%. Total volume is $3.3M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jul 29, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jul 29, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 10 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
5087h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
5087h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
When is the Fed's next meeting? See the full schedule for 2026. - Yahoo Finance
Yahoo Finance·20d ago·neutral
Fed's interest rate pause bolstered by jobs data, but concerns linger - Reuters
Reuters·53d ago·neutral
Trump Could Soon Name A New Fed Chair. What Does It Mean For Rate Cuts? - Bankrate
Bankrate·118d ago·bearish
What the Fed’s Sept. 17 Interest Rate Decision Means for Crypto, Gold and Stocks - CoinDesk
CoinDesk·204d ago·neutral
Update: Fed faces ‘ghost’ jobs shock before key interest-rate-cut decision - thestreet.com
thestreet.com·208d ago·neutral
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