Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Fed maintains rate
$203K volume
92.0%
—
Cut 25bps
$246K volume
7.0%
—
Hike 25bps
$206K volume
4.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 17, 2026 (2mo)Updated 10m ago
Fed decision in Jun 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Jun 2026?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 92.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut 25bps at 7.0%. Total volume is $967K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 17, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Fed maintains rate
92.0%
Total Vol
$967K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Jun 2026?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 92.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut 25bps at 7.0%. Total volume is $967K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 17, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 17, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 27 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
139h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
139h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Gold (Jun 2026) Trade Ideas — CMCMARKETS:GOLDM2026 - TradingView
TradingView·15h ago·neutral
Trump’s FY2026 budget proposes $73B cut to US nondefense discretionary spending
Bing News·2d ago·neutral
Federal Reserve Holds Benchmark Rate Steady as U.S. Economy Faces Mixed Signals in Q1 2026 - altitudesmagazine.com
altitudesmagazine.com·3d ago·neutral
Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 4.25% as Inflation Edges Toward 2% Target - altitudesmagazine.com
altitudesmagazine.com·4d ago·neutral
BTC Futures Contract (Jun 2026) - TradingView
TradingView·4d ago·neutral
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