Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
No change
$1.2M volume
90.5%
—
25 bps decrease
$862K volume
6.5%
—
25 bps increase
$1.1M volume
1.8%
—
50+ bps decrease
$1.6M volume
0.9%
—
50+ bps increase
$937K volume
0.8%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 17, 2026 (2mo)Updated 14m ago
Fed Decision in June?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed Decision in June?". No change is leading at 90.5%. The next most likely outcome is 25 bps decrease at 6.5%. Total volume is $5.7M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 17, 2026.
Leading Outcome
No change
90.5%
Total Vol
$5.7M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed Decision in June?". No change is leading at 90.5%. The next most likely outcome is 25 bps decrease at 6.5%. Total volume is $5.7M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 17, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 17, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
bullishConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
70%
Confidence
High confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.284 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 11 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
70%
Label
bullish
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
70%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
886h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
70%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
886h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Strong payroll growth and inflation fears reduce June 2025 Fed rate cut odds: FT - Crypto Briefing
Crypto Briefing·2d ago·bullish
Trump’s FY2026 budget proposes $73B cut to US nondefense discretionary spending
Bing News·2d ago·neutral
What the Fed's rate decision means for you money - Yahoo Finance
Yahoo Finance·17d ago·neutral
US Dollar Forecast: DXY Falls on Profit-Taking Ahead of Fed Meeting
Bing News·18d ago·neutral
When is the Fed's next meeting? See the full schedule for 2026. - Yahoo Finance
Yahoo Finance·20d ago·neutral
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