Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Fed maintains rate
$612 volume
65.0%
—
Cut 25bps
$4K volume
26.0%
—
Hike 25bps
$3K volume
6.0%
—
Live marketEnds Sep 16, 2026 (5mo)Updated 7m ago
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Sep 2026?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 65.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut 25bps at 26.0%. Total volume is $9K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Sep 16, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Fed maintains rate
65.0%
Total Vol
$9K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decision in Sep 2026?". Fed maintains rate is leading at 65.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut 25bps at 26.0%. Total volume is $9K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Sep 16, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Sep 16, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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