Home📈EconomicsFed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Live marketEnds Apr 29, 2026 (23d)Updated 16m ago

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Live prediction market odds for "Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)". Pause–Pause–Pause is leading at 98.0%. The next most likely outcome is Pause–Pause–Cut at 1.2%. Total volume is $423K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 29, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Pause–Pause–Pause
98.0%
Total Vol
$423K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Pause–Pause–Pause
$71K volume
98.0%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$175K volume
1.2%
Other
$138K volume
0.8%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)". Pause–Pause–Pause is leading at 98.0%. The next most likely outcome is Pause–Pause–Cut at 1.2%. Total volume is $423K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 29, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 29, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 32 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
1447h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
1447h
Avg Sentiment
-0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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