Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Pause–Cut–Pause
$23K volume
85.0%
—
Pause–Cut–Cut
$11K volume
10.5%
—
Other
$211K volume
4.6%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 17, 2026 (2mo)Updated 2m ago
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)". Pause–Cut–Pause is leading at 85.0%. The next most likely outcome is Pause–Cut–Cut at 10.5%. Total volume is $721K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 17, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Pause–Cut–Pause
85.0%
Total Vol
$721K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)". Pause–Cut–Pause is leading at 85.0%. The next most likely outcome is Pause–Cut–Cut at 10.5%. Total volume is $721K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 17, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 17, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 54 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2694h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2694h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Traders pour in billions ahead of Fed's 2PM decision
Bing News·18d ago·neutral
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision? Pr... - Polymarket
Polymarket·18d ago·neutral
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? Pre... - Polymarket
Polymarket·27d ago·neutral
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28... - Polymarket
Polymarket·73d ago·neutral
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting? - Polymarket
Polymarket·107d ago·neutral
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