Home📈EconomicsFed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Live marketEnds Dec 9, 2026 (8mo)Updated 12m ago

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Live prediction market odds for "Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?". Above 2.75% is leading at 69.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 3.00% at 63.0%. Total volume is $34K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 9, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Above 2.75%
69.0%
Total Vol
$34K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 2.75%
$9K volume
69.0%
Above 3.00%
$2K volume
63.0%
Above 3.25%
$6K volume
58.0%
Above 3.50%
$16K volume
55.0%
Above 4.25%
$543 volume
54.0%
Above 4.00%
$156 volume
50.0%
Above 4.50%
$145 volume
20.0%
Above 4.75%
$6 volume
12.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?". Above 2.75% is leading at 69.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 3.00% at 63.0%. Total volume is $34K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 9, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 9, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.33x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
423h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
423h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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