Home📈EconomicsFed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
Live marketEnds Jan 27, 2027 (9mo)Updated 13m ago

Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?

Live prediction market odds for "Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?". Above 1.25% is leading at 87.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 0.75% at 86.0%. Total volume is $23K across 18 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 27, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Above 1.25%
87.0%
Total Vol
$23K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 1.25%
$1K volume
87.0%
Above 0.75%
$1K volume
86.0%
Above 0.00%
$208 volume
86.0%
Above 1.75%
$215 volume
82.0%
Above 0.50%
$641 volume
80.0%
Above 1.00%
$379 volume
80.0%
Above 2.00%
$318 volume
79.0%
Above 1.50%
$612 volume
77.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?". Above 1.25% is leading at 87.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 0.75% at 86.0%. Total volume is $23K across 18 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 27, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 27, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.001 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.33x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
439h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
439h
Avg Sentiment
-0.050
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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