Home📈EconomicsFed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
Live marketEnds Jul 29, 2026 (3mo)Updated 13m ago

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

Live prediction market odds for "Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?". Above 3.00% is leading at 94.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 3.25% at 85.0%. Total volume is $22K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 29, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Above 3.00%
94.0%
Total Vol
$22K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 3.00%
$794 volume
94.0%
Above 3.25%
$6K volume
85.0%
Above 2.75%
$495 volume
85.0%
Above 3.50%
$5K volume
69.0%
Above 3.75%
$6K volume
22.0%
Above 4.00%
$2K volume
14.0%
Above 4.25%
$213 volume
14.0%
Above 4.75%
$1 volume
5.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?". Above 3.00% is leading at 94.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 3.25% at 85.0%. Total volume is $22K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 29, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jul 29, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

bearish

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

68%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.250 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 7 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
68%
Label
bearish
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
68%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
438h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
68%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
438h
Avg Sentiment
-0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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