Home📈EconomicsFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
Live marketEnds Sep 16, 2026 (5mo)Updated 13m ago

Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Live prediction market odds for "Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?". Above 2.75% is leading at 71.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 3.00% at 67.0%. Total volume is $15K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Sep 16, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Above 2.75%
71.0%
Total Vol
$15K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 2.75%
$790 volume
71.0%
Above 3.00%
$727 volume
67.0%
Above 5.25%
$14 volume
60.0%
Above 5.00%
$44 volume
55.0%
Above 3.25%
$2K volume
53.0%
Above 3.50%
$6K volume
48.0%
Above 3.75%
$3K volume
20.0%
Above 4.25%
$695 volume
19.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?". Above 2.75% is leading at 71.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 3.00% at 67.0%. Total volume is $15K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Sep 16, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Sep 16, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

63%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.188 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
423h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
423h
Avg Sentiment
-0.100
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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