Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Cuts
$70K volume
62.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 5m ago
Fed rate cut before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed rate cut before 2027?". Cuts is leading at 62.0%. Total volume is $70K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Cuts
62.0%
Total Vol
$70K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed rate cut before 2027?". Cuts is leading at 62.0%. Total volume is $70K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
bearishConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
68%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.250 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 19 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
68%
Label
bearish
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
68%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
80%
Median Age
396h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
68%
Label
bearish
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
80%
Median Age
396h
Avg Sentiment
-0.200
Neutral %
20%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
IMF Says US Fed Has Little Scope for Rate Cuts This Year
Bing News·3d ago·bearish
How Many Fed Rate Cuts Can We Now Expect in 2026?
Bing News·14d ago·bearish
Fed’s Bowman says she’s written in 3 interest rate cuts before year-end
Bing News·16d ago·bearish
The next time the Fed moves, it'll be to hike according to one economist—whether or not Trump gets his new Fed chair - Fortune
Fortune·16d ago·neutral
Fed’s Bowman says she’s written in 3 interest rate cuts before year-end - foxbusiness.com
foxbusiness.com·16d ago·bearish
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