Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
September Meeting
$1 volume
27.5%
—
October Meeting
$47 volume
16.5%
—
June Meeting
$258 volume
5.5%
—
April Meeting
$20K volume
1.2%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 9, 2026 (8mo)Updated 10m ago
Fed rate hike by...?
Live prediction market odds for "Fed rate hike by...?". September Meeting is leading at 27.5%. The next most likely outcome is October Meeting at 16.5%. Total volume is $23K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 9, 2026.
Leading Outcome
September Meeting
27.5%
Total Vol
$23K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fed rate hike by...?". September Meeting is leading at 27.5%. The next most likely outcome is October Meeting at 16.5%. Total volume is $23K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 9, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 9, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
53%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.035 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
80h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
80h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Breaking: Nonfarm Payrolls increase by 178K in March - fxstreet.com
fxstreet.com·2d ago·neutral
'There's a chance of a recession,' warns Westpac boss - abc.net.au
abc.net.au·2d ago·bearish
Odds of US interest rate hike increase after positive jobs data - Business Post
Business Post·2d ago·neutral
Westpac joins CBA, NAB and ANZ in hiking fixed interest rates as triple mortgage blow predicted - Yahoo Finance Australia
Yahoo Finance Australia·2d ago·neutral
Are Fed Rate Hikes Coming After Oil Spikes? Goldman Says No - iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ - Benzinga
Benzinga·3d ago·neutral
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