Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$33K volume
100.0%
—
A Great Awakening
$2K volume
0.1%
—
Hoppers
$2K volume
0.1%
—
The Drama
$2K volume
0.1%
—
Project Hail Mary
$5K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 3, 2026 (Ended)Updated 4m ago
Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)
Live prediction market odds for "Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)". The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is A Great Awakening at 0.1%. Total volume is $43K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 3, 2026.
Leading Outcome
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
100.0%
Total Vol
$43K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)". The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is A Great Awakening at 0.1%. Total volume is $43K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 3, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 3, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 19 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
22h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
22h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Dhurandhar 2: The Revenge - Box Office Collection Day 19 - Sacnilk
Sacnilk·2h ago·neutral
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Box Office Exceeds $370 Million Globally After First 5 Days - GameSpot
GameSpot·6h ago·neutral
Box Office: 'Super Mario Galaxy Movie' Opens to Record $372M Global - Deadline
Deadline·6h ago·neutral
Box Office: 'Super Mario Galaxy Movie' $190M+, Zendaya 'Drama' $14M+ - Deadline
Deadline·8h ago·neutral
'Super Mario Galaxy Movie' - All The Box Office Records Broken
Bing News·12h ago·neutral
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