Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
20°C
$22K volume
100.0%
—
24°C
$10K volume
0.1%
—
22°C
$12K volume
0.1%
—
27°C or higher
$15K volume
0.1%
—
26°C
$8K volume
0.1%
—
23°C
$8K volume
0.1%
—
25°C
$9K volume
0.1%
—
21°C
$12K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 4, 2026 (Ended)Updated 1d ago
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?". 20°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 24°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $122K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 4, 2026.
Leading Outcome
20°C
100.0%
Total Vol
$122K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?". 20°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 24°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $122K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 4, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 4, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
20%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 4 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 31 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
20%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
2
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
20%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
206h
Sources
2
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
20%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
206h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on April 4? - Polymarket
Polymarket·3d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 4? - Polymarket
Polymarket·4d ago·neutral
Josuu20 - Polymarket
Polymarket·12d ago·neutral
At least 15 dead as polar air mass brings record low temperatures to Argentina, Chile and Uruguay - The Watchers - Watching the world evolve and transform
The Watchers - Watching the world evolve and transform·276d ago·neutral
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