Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
April 30
$17K volume
10.5%
—
April 15
$18K volume
5.2%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 15, 2026 (8d)Updated 9m ago
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?
Live prediction market odds for "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?". April 30 is leading at 10.5%. The next most likely outcome is April 15 at 5.2%. Total volume is $35K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 15, 2026.
Leading Outcome
April 30
10.5%
Total Vol
$35K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?". April 30 is leading at 10.5%. The next most likely outcome is April 15 at 5.2%. Total volume is $35K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 15, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 15, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
127h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
127h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Houthi Escalation Calculus Following Cautious Entry into the Iran War - Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War·2d ago·neutral
Red Sea arena: Yemen’s Houthis open fourth front in Iran war, with global implications - The Jerusalem Post
The Jerusalem Post·3d ago·neutral
Red Sea arena: Yemen’s Houthis open fourth front in Iran war, with global implications
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
The Houthis Join the War - The Washington Institute
The Washington Institute·4d ago·neutral
Implications of the Iran War for U.S.-Saudi Relations - New Lines Institute
New Lines Institute·4d ago·neutral
Related Markets Markets
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Lead 100.0% · June 30 (0x43c7e8)
Vol $69.8M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Lead 0.1% · Yes
Vol $29.7M
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Lead 99.9% · Anthropic
Vol $16.2M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Lead 9.8% · Yes
Vol $14.7M
When will DHS be funded again?
Lead 97.0% · Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol $13.5M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Lead 29.5% · Yes
Vol $12.4M