Home📈EconomicsHow high will gas prices in Texas get this year?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 14m ago

How high will gas prices in Texas get this year?

Live prediction market odds for "How high will gas prices in Texas get this year?". Above $4.00 is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above $4.20 at 95.0%. Total volume is $137K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Above $4.00
99.0%
Total Vol
$137K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above $4.00
$3K volume
99.0%
Above $4.20
$2K volume
95.0%
Above $4.80
$526 volume
88.0%
Above $5.20
$738 volume
55.0%
Above $4.40
$2K volume
54.0%
Above $4.60
$2K volume
25.0%
Above $5.00
$460 volume
23.0%
Above $5.40
$1K volume
7.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How high will gas prices in Texas get this year?". Above $4.00 is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above $4.20 at 95.0%. Total volume is $137K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

52%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.021 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
97h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
97h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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