Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 3%
$236K volume
99.3%
—
Abov 3.5%
$38K volume
89.5%
—
Above 4%
$63K volume
62.5%
—
Above 5%
$20K volume
34.5%
—
Above 6%
$17K volume
17.5%
—
Above 8%
$19K volume
10.1%
—
Above 10%
$7K volume
6.9%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 11m ago
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "How high will inflation get in 2026?". Above 3% is leading at 99.3%. The next most likely outcome is Abov 3.5% at 89.5%. Total volume is $399K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Above 3%
99.3%
Total Vol
$399K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "How high will inflation get in 2026?". Above 3% is leading at 99.3%. The next most likely outcome is Abov 3.5% at 89.5%. Total volume is $399K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.006 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
230h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
230h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Will U.S. Inflation Jump to 4.2% This Year? The Fed Says No, but This Gold-Standard Forecaster Says Yes.
Bing News·1d ago·neutral
When will mortgage rates go down? Not while oil keeps fueling inflation. - Yahoo Finance
Yahoo Finance·3d ago·neutral
Travel Inflation Report: March 2026 - NerdWallet
NerdWallet·3d ago·neutral
S&P 500 Will Be Around 6,300 By The End Of 2026, Per Sharma Disposable Income Formula
Bing News·6d ago·bullish
UK inflation forecast: where are prices heading next? - moneyweek.com
moneyweek.com·9d ago·neutral
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