Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above $900
$920 volume
87.0%
—
Above $1000
$2K volume
78.0%
—
Above $1100
$2K volume
69.0%
—
Above $1200
$5K volume
58.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 8m ago
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
Live prediction market odds for "How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?". Above $900 is leading at 87.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above $1000 at 78.0%. Total volume is $17K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
Above $900
87.0%
Total Vol
$17K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?". Above $900 is leading at 87.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above $1000 at 78.0%. Total volume is $17K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
111h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
111h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
The war’s economic impact could get worse for Americans - The Washington Post
The Washington Post·1d ago·neutral
‘Up in the air.’ Iran war price hikes stretch Centre County farmers thin - Centre Daily Times
Centre Daily Times·1d ago·neutral
‘Up in the air.’ Iran war price hikes stretch Centre County farmers thin
Bing News·1d ago·neutral
Farm Futures morning grain market analysis - Farm Progress
Farm Progress·3d ago·neutral
Iran War Sends Fertilizer Prices Sky-High - The American Prospect
The American Prospect·4d ago·neutral
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