Homeโ€บ๐Ÿ“ˆEconomicsโ€บHow low will gas prices in California get this year?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 14m ago

How low will gas prices in California get this year?

Live prediction market odds for "How low will gas prices in California get this year?". Below $4.10 is leading at 27.0%. The next most likely outcome is Below $4.00 at 20.0%. Total volume is $28K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Below $4.10
27.0%
Total Vol
$28K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Below $4.10
$13K volume
27.0%
โ€”
Below $4.00
$7K volume
20.0%
โ€”
Below $3.90
$3K volume
19.0%
โ€”
Below $3.80
$3K volume
13.0%
โ€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How low will gas prices in California get this year?". Below $4.10 is leading at 27.0%. The next most likely outcome is Below $4.00 at 20.0%. Total volume is $28K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score โ€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown ยท Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A ยท Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B ยท Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
โ€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C ยท Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
โ€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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