Homeโ€บ๐Ÿ“ˆEconomicsโ€บHow many companies will go bankrupt this year?
Live marketEnds Jan 10, 2027 (9mo)Updated 15m ago

How many companies will go bankrupt this year?

Live prediction market odds for "How many companies will go bankrupt this year?". Above 550 is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 600 at 97.0%. Total volume is $8K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 10, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Above 550
99.0%
Total Vol
$8K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 550
$28 volume
99.0%
โ€”
Above 600
$10 volume
97.0%
โ€”
Above 650
$5 volume
94.0%
โ€”
Above 750
$6K volume
85.0%
โ€”
Above 800
$906 volume
70.0%
โ€”
Above 850
$881 volume
55.0%
โ€”

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How many companies will go bankrupt this year?". Above 550 is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 600 at 97.0%. Total volume is $8K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 10, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 10, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

unavailable

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score โ€” from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown ยท Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A ยท Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B ยท Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
โ€”
Sources
0
Metric Pack C ยท Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
โ€”
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.

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