Home🤖ai_techHow many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 8m ago

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?". above 0 is leading at 94.0%. The next most likely outcome is above 1000 at 57.0%. Total volume is $77K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
above 0
94.0%
Total Vol
$77K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
above 0
$8K volume
94.0%
above 1000
$35K volume
57.0%
above 5000
$27K volume
23.0%
above 20000
$364 volume
8.0%
above 10000
$6K volume
5.0%
above 25000
$467 volume
4.0%
above 15000
$1K volume
4.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?". above 0 is leading at 94.0%. The next most likely outcome is above 1000 at 57.0%. Total volume is $77K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

52%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.021 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
95h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
52%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
95h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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