Home📌OtherHow many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
Live marketEnds Jan 10, 2027 (9mo)Updated 3m ago

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?". 1250+ is leading at 53.0%. The next most likely outcome is 1050–1099 at 22.0%. Total volume is $46K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 10, 2027.

Leading Outcome
1250+
53.0%
Total Vol
$46K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
1250+
$13K volume
53.0%
1050–1099
Volume n/a
22.0%
1000–1049
Volume n/a
20.5%
1100–1149
Volume n/a
18.6%
950
$20K volume
10.5%
1150–1199
Volume n/a
9.2%
950–999
Volume n/a
9.0%
1200–1249
$14K volume
3.5%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?". 1250+ is leading at 53.0%. The next most likely outcome is 1050–1099 at 22.0%. Total volume is $46K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 10, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 10, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
493h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
493h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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