Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 0.0%
$116K volume
99.0%
—
Above 0.1%
$29K volume
91.0%
—
Above 0.2%
$21K volume
84.0%
—
Above 0.3%
$3K volume
51.0%
—
Above 0.4%
$224 volume
18.0%
—
Live marketEnds May 28, 2026 (1mo)Updated 6m ago
How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?". Above 0.0% is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 0.1% at 91.0%. Total volume is $170K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 28, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Above 0.0%
99.0%
Total Vol
$170K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "How much will core PCE increase in Apr 2026?". Above 0.0% is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 0.1% at 91.0%. Total volume is $170K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 28, 2026.
Expected resolution date: May 28, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.018 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
40%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
32h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
40%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
32h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
40%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
XRP Metrics Muted in Quiet Holiday Trading: Price Levels to Watch Now - TradingView
TradingView·6h ago·neutral
US GDP growth projected to rise to 2.4% in 2026: IMF - Fibre2Fashion
Fibre2Fashion·16h ago·bullish
Energy Prices Soar, Fueling Inflation Fears and Delaying Fed Rate Cuts - Whalesbook
Whalesbook·18h ago·bearish
US inflation seen spiking in first snapshot since Iran war - The Edge Malaysia
The Edge Malaysia·20h ago·neutral
Dow Jones Today: Jobs Surge 178K, What It Means for Your Portfolio - fakta.co
fakta.co·1d ago·bullish
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