Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 0.0%
Volume n/a
94.5%
—
Above 0.1%
$491 volume
83.0%
—
Above 0.2%
$3K volume
55.0%
—
Above 0.3%
$1K volume
13.0%
—
Above 0.4%
$398 volume
3.0%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 30, 2026 (24d)Updated 8m ago
How much will core PCE increase in Mar 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "How much will core PCE increase in Mar 2026?". Above 0.0% is leading at 94.5%. The next most likely outcome is Above 0.1% at 83.0%. Total volume is $5K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Above 0.0%
94.5%
Total Vol
$5K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "How much will core PCE increase in Mar 2026?". Above 0.0% is leading at 94.5%. The next most likely outcome is Above 0.1% at 83.0%. Total volume is $5K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 30, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
408h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
408h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Fed Digs In: Interest Rates Held Steady as Sticky Inflation Disrupts 2026 Pivot Hopes - FinancialContent
FinancialContent·5d ago·neutral
What Are the Macroeconomic Implications of Recent Turmoil in Oil Markets? - The Budget Lab at Yale
The Budget Lab at Yale·9d ago·neutral
US import prices post largest gain in four years as energy costs soar - whbl.com
whbl.com·10d ago·neutral
The Fed Sees Higher Inflation Coming — and May Cut Rates Anyway - The Daily Economy
The Daily Economy·13d ago·neutral
The New York Fed DSGE Model Forecast—March 2026 - Liberty Street Economics
Liberty Street Economics·16d ago·neutral
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