Home📈EconomicsInflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)
Live marketEnds May 12, 2026 (1mo)Updated 15m ago

Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)

Live prediction market odds for "Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)". Above 2.7% is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 2.5% at 98.0%. Total volume is $20K across 18 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 12, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Above 2.7%
99.0%
Total Vol
$20K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 2.7%
$836 volume
99.0%
Above 2.5%
$407 volume
98.0%
Above 2.6%
$364 volume
98.0%
Above 3.1%
$2K volume
97.0%
Above 2.3%
$257 volume
95.0%
Above 2.4%
$194 volume
95.0%
Above 3.2%
$3K volume
94.0%
Above 2.8%
$2K volume
93.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY)". Above 2.7% is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 2.5% at 98.0%. Total volume is $20K across 18 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 12, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 12, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.016 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
99h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
99h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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