Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
March 28
$45K volume
100.0%
—
March 29
$2K volume
94.7%
—
March 31
$9K volume
4.5%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)Updated 7m ago
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
Live prediction market odds for "Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?". March 28 is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is March 29 at 94.7%. Total volume is $144K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
March 28
100.0%
Total Vol
$144K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?". March 28 is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is March 29 at 94.7%. Total volume is $144K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
80h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
80h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Why did US and Israel attack Iran and how long could the war last? - BBC
BBC·17h ago·neutral
Company backed by Trump sons looks to sell drone interceptors to Gulf states being attacked by Iran - PBS
PBS·2d ago·neutral
Houthi Escalation Calculus Following Cautious Entry into the Iran War - Institute for the Study of War
Institute for the Study of War·2d ago·neutral
"WE GOT HIM!," Trump declares after U.S. airman rescued deep inside Iran, as strikes on power plants loom - CBS News
CBS News·3d ago·neutral
Tell Me How This Ends: Six Questions That Will Shape the Outcome of the US-Israeli Operations Against Iran - mwi.westpoint.edu
mwi.westpoint.edu·3d ago·neutral
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