Home📈EconomicsJobs numbers in October 2026?
Live marketEnds Nov 6, 2026 (7mo)Updated 12m ago

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Jobs numbers in October 2026?". Above -25,000 is leading at 86.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 30,000 at 69.0%. Total volume is $8K across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 6, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Above -25,000
86.0%
Total Vol
$8K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above -25,000
$1K volume
86.0%
Above 30,000
$1K volume
69.0%
Above 0
$2K volume
68.0%
Above 10,000
$268 volume
64.0%
Above 20,000
$66 volume
60.0%
Above 40,000
$736 volume
59.0%
Above 50,000
$834 volume
54.0%
Above 60,000
$393 volume
46.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Jobs numbers in October 2026?". Above -25,000 is leading at 86.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 30,000 at 69.0%. Total volume is $8K across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 6, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Nov 6, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

58%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.119 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
58%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
58%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
81h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
58%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
81h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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