Home📌OtherLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 15m ago

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?". SpaceX is leading at 88.5%. The next most likely outcome is xAI at 25.5%. Total volume is $1.6M across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
SpaceX
88.5%
Total Vol
$1.6M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
SpaceX
$184K volume
88.5%
xAI
Volume n/a
25.5%
Anthropic
$344K volume
4.1%
OpenAI
$299K volume
4.0%
Discord
$69K volume
0.8%
Databricks
$69K volume
0.5%
Kraken
$376K volume
0.5%
Stripe
$39K volume
0.4%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?". SpaceX is leading at 88.5%. The next most likely outcome is xAI at 25.5%. Total volume is $1.6M across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

bullish

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

71%
Confidence
High confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.293 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 7 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
71%
Label
bullish
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
71%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
181h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
71%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
181h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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