Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$143K volume
20.0%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 15m ago
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?". Yes is leading at 20.0%. Total volume is $143K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Yes
20.0%
Total Vol
$143K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?". Yes is leading at 20.0%. Total volume is $143K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
bullishConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
55%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.211 from 8 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 39 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
55%
Label
bullish
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
55%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
13%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2054h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
55%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
13%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2054h
Avg Sentiment
+0.031
Neutral %
88%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Something is happening around Earth: Inside 2026’s massive fireball surge
Bing News·10d ago·bullish
HelloWorld2024 - Polymarket
Polymarket·12d ago·neutral
Did meteor hit PA? What to know about meteor strikes
Bing News·19d ago·neutral
How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26) - Polymarket
Polymarket·75d ago·neutral
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? - Polymarket
Polymarket·96d ago·neutral
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