Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
4.3%
$39K volume
100.0%
—
4.4%
$16K volume
0.1%
—
4.7%
$32K volume
0.1%
—
4.5%
$7K volume
0.1%
—
4.6%
$22K volume
0.1%
—
4.2%
$23K volume
0.1%
—
4.0%
$124K volume
0.1%
—
3.9%
$33K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 3, 2026 (Ended)Updated 2d ago
March Unemployment Rate
Live prediction market odds for "March Unemployment Rate". 4.3% is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 4.4% at 0.1%. Total volume is $308K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 3, 2026.
Leading Outcome
4.3%
100.0%
Total Vol
$308K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "March Unemployment Rate". 4.3% is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 4.4% at 0.1%. Total volume is $308K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 3, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 3, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.019 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
33h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
33h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
March jobs report ‘shatters expectations’ with 178,000 gain as gas price spike looms over economy - Fox News
Fox News·2h ago·neutral
The March Jobs Report and the Story of Time - cepr.net
cepr.net·18h ago·neutral
Residential construction employment rises in March - Yield PRO
Yield PRO·1d ago·neutral
The March Jobs Report: Unemployment Down, Labor Slack Holds, Should The Fed (NYSEARCA:SPY) - Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha·1d ago·neutral
March job gains outshine forecasts amid inflation pressures - Scripps News
Scripps News·1d ago·neutral
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