Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before 2028
$19K volume
63.0%
—
Before July 2027
$35K volume
34.0%
—
Before 2027
$335K volume
17.0%
—
Before July 2026
$118K volume
5.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2028 (1y 270d)Updated 12m ago
Next Fed rate hike?
Live prediction market odds for "Next Fed rate hike?". Before 2028 is leading at 63.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before July 2027 at 34.0%. Total volume is $1.0M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2028.
Leading Outcome
Before 2028
63.0%
Total Vol
$1.0M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Next Fed rate hike?". Before 2028 is leading at 63.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before July 2027 at 34.0%. Total volume is $1.0M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
56%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.087 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.50x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
286h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
286h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
The bond market is helping resolve the Fed's interest rate dilemma
Bing News·4d ago·neutral
Why $4 a gallon gas prices won’t trigger Fed interest rate hikes — and could lead to cuts
Bing News·5d ago·bearish
Markets now see the Fed's next move as a potential rate hike as inflation fears mount
Bing News·9d ago·neutral
Investors Are Betting on an Interest Rate Hike That’s Really Not That Likely
Bing News·10d ago·bullish
Will UK interest rates fall any time soon? - BBC
BBC·11d ago·neutral
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