Home📌OtherNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Live marketEnds Oct 10, 2026 (6mo)Updated 2m ago

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Live prediction market odds for "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026". Yulia Navalnaya is leading at 10.5%. The next most likely outcome is Donald Trump at 7.5%. Total volume is $12.7M across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 10, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Yulia Navalnaya
10.5%
Total Vol
$12.7M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yulia Navalnaya
$95K volume
10.5%
Donald Trump
$2.4M volume
7.5%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$411K volume
7.2%
Pope Leo XIV
$543K volume
3.9%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
$442K volume
3.8%
International Court of Justice
$589K volume
3.6%
Greta Thunberg
$970K volume
3.0%
UNRWA
$1.7M volume
2.8%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026". Yulia Navalnaya is leading at 10.5%. The next most likely outcome is Donald Trump at 7.5%. Total volume is $12.7M across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Oct 10, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Oct 10, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
703h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
703h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Latest News

Related Other Markets

Explore Other Categories