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Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 1m ago

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?". 0 cuts is leading at 79.0%. The next most likely outcome is 1 cuts at 11.0%. Total volume is $175K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
0 cuts
79.0%
Total Vol
$175K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
0 cuts
$79K volume
79.0%
—
1 cuts
$53K volume
11.0%
—
2 cuts
$15K volume
4.0%
—
3 cuts
$19K volume
3.9%
—
4 cuts
$10K volume
1.0%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?". 0 cuts is leading at 79.0%. The next most likely outcome is 1 cuts at 11.0%. Total volume is $175K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

63%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.187 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
60%
Median Age
292h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
63%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
60%
Median Age
292h
Avg Sentiment
-0.150
Neutral %
40%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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