Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Train Dreams
$100K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 15, 2026 (Ended)Updated 20d ago
Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner ". Train Dreams is leading at 0.1%. Total volume is $887K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Train Dreams
0.1%
Total Vol
$887K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner ". Train Dreams is leading at 0.1%. Total volume is $887K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 15, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 11 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
480h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
480h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Oscars 2026: Here’s a complete list of winners - MSN
MSN·6d ago·neutral
Second take: 'Sinners' dominates Oscars 2026, signaling potential breakthrough for horror films - Daily Bruin
Daily Bruin·14d ago·neutral
Oscars 2026: and the Academy Award goes to… who you’d expect - Case Western Reserve University
Case Western Reserve University·16d ago·neutral
Oscars 2026: Biggest winners, snubs, and standout moments - The Collegiate Live
The Collegiate Live·18d ago·neutral
Oscars 2026: ‘One Battle After Another’ wins 6 awards, Michael B. Jordan claims Best Actor - Daily Bruin
Daily Bruin·19d ago·bullish
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