Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Sinners
$177K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketUpdated 20d ago
Oscars 2026: Best Casting Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2026: Best Casting Winner". Sinners is leading at 0.1%. Total volume is $376K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket.
Leading Outcome
Sinners
0.1%
Total Vol
$376K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2026: Best Casting Winner". Sinners is leading at 0.1%. Total volume is $376K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.004 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 19 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
487h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
487h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Oscars 2026: Film critics predict the two movies with best chance at winning Best Picture - ABC7 Los Angeles
ABC7 Los Angeles·13d ago·neutral
Oscars 2026: and the Academy Award goes to… who you’d expect - Case Western Reserve University
Case Western Reserve University·16d ago·neutral
Oscars 2026: ‘One Battle After Another’ wins 6 awards, Michael B. Jordan claims Best Actor - Daily Bruin
Daily Bruin·19d ago·bullish
Oscars 2026 Winners: Sinners, One Battle After Another, Kpop Demon Hunters Shine - Cinelinx
Cinelinx·20d ago·neutral
Oscars 2026 live — all the winners, speeches and big moments at the 98th Academy Awards
Bing News·20d ago·neutral
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