Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
40 trillion
Volume n/a
97.9%
—
41 trillion
$254 volume
42.5%
—
42 trillion
$3K volume
10.0%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 15d ago
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for "Peak US National Debt before 2027?". 40 trillion is leading at 97.9%. The next most likely outcome is 41 trillion at 42.5%. Total volume is $21K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
40 trillion
97.9%
Total Vol
$21K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Peak US National Debt before 2027?". 40 trillion is leading at 97.9%. The next most likely outcome is 41 trillion at 42.5%. Total volume is $21K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
56%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.088 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 7 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
172h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
172h
Avg Sentiment
-0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Trump's 2027 budget boosts defense, trims domestic programs - MSN
MSN·2d ago·neutral
Trump just raised the $39 trillion national debt with the largest budget hike since World War II—and nobody can figure out how to pay for it - Fortune
Fortune·2d ago·neutral
White House govt funding request for 2027 cuts $73 billion - The Center Square
The Center Square·2d ago·bearish
An Overview of the President's FY 2027 Budget-2026-04-03 - Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget
Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget·3d ago·neutral
Trump Budget to Frame Midterms With Defense Boost, Domestic Cuts - Bloomberg.com
Bloomberg.com·4d ago·bearish
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