Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
December 31, 2026
$36K volume
24.0%
—
June 30, 2026
$69K volume
5.5%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 30, 2026 (2mo)Updated 3m ago
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
Live prediction market odds for "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?". December 31, 2026 is leading at 24.0%. The next most likely outcome is June 30, 2026 at 5.5%. Total volume is $105K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.
Leading Outcome
December 31, 2026
24.0%
Total Vol
$105K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?". December 31, 2026 is leading at 24.0%. The next most likely outcome is June 30, 2026 at 5.5%. Total volume is $105K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 30, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
161h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
161h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Spanish PM's party gains on anti-war stance, support for far right stalls in polls
Bing News·10h ago·neutral
Spain's Prime Minister speaks out on Islamophobic storm after Lamine Yamal fury - The Mirror
The Mirror·4d ago·neutral
Spain remains outside 35-country summit convened by the UK over Strait of Hormuz talks - surinenglish.com
surinenglish.com·4d ago·neutral
Spanish PM Sanchez Condemns ‘Unacceptable’ Incident at Spain-Egypt Match - moroccoworldnews.com
moroccoworldnews.com·4d ago·neutral
Pedro Sánchez, Lamine Yamal slam anti-Muslim chanting at Spain football game against Egypt - politico.eu
politico.eu·4d ago·neutral
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