Home📌OtherRichest person on December 31, 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 4m ago

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "Richest person on December 31, 2026?". Elon Musk is leading at 89.5%. The next most likely outcome is Jensen Huang at 2.4%. Total volume is $1.5M across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Elon Musk
89.5%
Total Vol
$1.5M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Elon Musk
$110K volume
89.5%
Jensen Huang
$118K volume
2.4%
Warren Buffett
$81K volume
1.6%
Jeff Bezos
$298K volume
1.4%
Mark Zuckerberg
$117K volume
1.4%
Larry Ellison
$44K volume
1.3%
Bernard Arnault
$262K volume
1.2%
Larry Page
$118K volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Richest person on December 31, 2026?". Elon Musk is leading at 89.5%. The next most likely outcome is Jensen Huang at 2.4%. Total volume is $1.5M across 10 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 29 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
641h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
641h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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