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Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 1m ago

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?". Donald Trump is leading at 25.0%. The next most likely outcome is Zohran Mamdani at 14.0%. Total volume is $209K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Donald Trump
25.0%
Total Vol
$209K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Donald Trump
$39K volume
25.0%
Zohran Mamdani
$9K volume
14.0%
Pope Leo XIV
$3K volume
12.0%
AI
$76K volume
11.0%
Elon Musk
$7K volume
11.0%
Dario Amodei
$214 volume
9.0%
Bad Bunny
$38K volume
8.0%
Sam Altman
$12K volume
7.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?". Donald Trump is leading at 25.0%. The next most likely outcome is Zohran Mamdani at 14.0%. Total volume is $209K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
922h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
922h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss

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