Home🤖ai_techTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/30 - 4/5)
Live marketEnds Apr 7, 2026 (19h)Updated 4h ago

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/30 - 4/5)

Live prediction market odds for "Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/30 - 4/5)". Above 5 is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 15 at 99.0%. Total volume is $48K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 7, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Above 5
99.0%
Total Vol
$48K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 5
$2K volume
99.0%
Above 15
$3K volume
99.0%
Above 20
$5K volume
99.0%
Above 10
$5K volume
99.0%
Above 25
$7K volume
98.0%
Above 35
$6K volume
94.0%
Above 40
$6K volume
86.0%
Above 30
$5K volume
85.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/30 - 4/5)". Above 5 is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 15 at 99.0%. Total volume is $48K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 7, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 7, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
2
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
125h
Sources
2
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
125h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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