Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$58K volume
33.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 30, 2026 (2mo)Updated 4m ago
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Live prediction market odds for "US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?". Yes is leading at 33.0%. Total volume is $58K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Yes
33.0%
Total Vol
$58K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?". Yes is leading at 33.0%. Total volume is $58K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 30, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
731h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
731h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Raul Castro participating in talks with U.S., Cuba's president says - CBC
CBC·10d ago·neutral
Trump Administration Said to Tell Cuba That Its President Has to Go - The New York Times
The New York Times·20d ago·neutral
DOJ official pushes for cases against Cuban leaders, as Trump eyes regime change - MSN
MSN·29d ago·neutral
DOJ exploring possible charges against Cuban leaders amid calls for a Raul Castro indictment: 'Must finally face justice' - nypost.com
nypost.com·30d ago·neutral
Justice Department targets Cuban officials, aims for indictments - The Washington Post
The Washington Post·30d ago·neutral
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