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Live marketEnds Apr 30, 2026 (24d)Updated 2m ago

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "US GDP growth in Q1 2026?". 2.5–3.0% is leading at 21.6%. The next most likely outcome is 3.0–3.5% at 21.5%. Total volume is $236K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.

Leading Outcome
2.5–3.0%
21.6%
Total Vol
$236K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
2.5–3.0%
$14K volume
21.6%
—
3.0–3.5%
$75K volume
21.5%
—
1.5–2.0%
$16K volume
16.3%
—
2.0–2.5%
$33K volume
15.2%
—
1.0–1.5%
$5K volume
13.4%
—
3.5%
$71K volume
11.0%
—
1.0%
$23K volume
9.2%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "US GDP growth in Q1 2026?". 2.5–3.0% is leading at 21.6%. The next most likely outcome is 3.0–3.5% at 21.5%. Total volume is $236K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 30, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

57%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.101 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 13 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
5.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
50%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
41h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
50%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
41h
Avg Sentiment
+0.100
Neutral %
40%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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