Home📈EconomicsUS housing starts for March 2026
Live marketEnds Apr 17, 2026 (11d)Updated 10m ago

US housing starts for March 2026

Live prediction market odds for "US housing starts for March 2026". Above 1.325M is leading at 26.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 1.350M at 22.0%. Total volume is $13K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 17, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Above 1.325M
26.0%
Total Vol
$13K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 1.325M
$10K volume
26.0%
Above 1.350M
$660 volume
22.0%
Above 1.375M
$1K volume
19.0%
Above 1.400M
$597 volume
17.0%
Above 1.425M
$36 volume
14.0%
Above 1.450M
$7 volume
12.0%
Above 1.475M
$414 volume
7.0%
Above 1.500M
$635 volume
6.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "US housing starts for March 2026". Above 1.325M is leading at 26.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 1.350M at 22.0%. Total volume is $13K across 8 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 17, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 17, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
312h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
312h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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