Home›📈Economics›U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?
Live marketEnds Mar 4, 2027 (11mo)Updated 2m ago

U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?

Live prediction market odds for "U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?". Above 3% is leading at 42.0%. Total volume is $49K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Mar 4, 2027.

Leading Outcome
Above 3%
42.0%
Total Vol
$49K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 3%
$49K volume
42.0%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?". Above 3% is leading at 42.0%. Total volume is $49K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Mar 4, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Mar 4, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

54%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.060 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
6.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
60%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
529h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
60%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
529h
Avg Sentiment
+0.150
Neutral %
30%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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