Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$54K volume
7.5%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 4m ago
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for "US x China Military clash before 2027?". Yes is leading at 7.5%. Total volume is $54K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Yes
7.5%
Total Vol
$54K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "US x China Military clash before 2027?". Yes is leading at 7.5%. Total volume is $54K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 48 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2163h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
2163h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
What would happen if China invaded Taiwan? - The Week
The Week·4d ago·neutral
China’s military purge raises questions of peace, war and US dialogue - Reuters
Reuters·59d ago·neutral
Pentagon Raises Alarm Over China’s Military-Civil Fusion Strategy - Indian Defence Review
Indian Defence Review·65d ago·neutral
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Pr... - Polymarket
Polymarket·71d ago·neutral
Latest Pentagon Report: China’s Military Advancing Amid Churn - War on the Rocks
War on the Rocks·86d ago·neutral
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