Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$80K volume
66.5%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 7m ago
Viktor Orbán out in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Viktor Orbán out in 2026?". Yes is leading at 66.5%. Total volume is $80K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Yes
66.5%
Total Vol
$80K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Viktor Orbán out in 2026?". Yes is leading at 66.5%. Total volume is $80K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.020 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
37h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
37h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Hungary’s Orbán has long annoyed the European Union. Now some hope he faces defeat
Bing News·8h ago·neutral
Hungary is a laboratory for illiberal nationalism. The results are in.
Bing News·11h ago·neutral
Younger Hungarian Voters Spurn Orban, Some Say They Will Leave if He Is Re-Elected
Bing News·13h ago·neutral
Will Hungary's far-right leader Viktor Orban be voted out of power?
Bing News·1d ago·neutral
Can Viktor Orban be beaten? - The Economist
The Economist·1d ago·neutral
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