Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
3.25%
$54K volume
67.0%
—
3.0%
$217K volume
33.5%
—
1.25%
$893 volume
23.8%
—
2.75%
$250K volume
18.5%
—
2.5%
$172K volume
16.0%
—
1.0%
Volume n/a
9.2%
—
4.25%
$22K volume
8.8%
—
2.0%
$15K volume
8.5%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 12m ago
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for "What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?". 3.25% is leading at 67.0%. The next most likely outcome is 3.0% at 33.5%. Total volume is $1.3M across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
3.25%
67.0%
Total Vol
$1.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?". 3.25% is leading at 67.0%. The next most likely outcome is 3.0% at 33.5%. Total volume is $1.3M across 20 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 27 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
437h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
437h
Avg Sentiment
-0.125
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
IMF reveals shocking rate cut forecast for all of 2026 - thestreet.com
thestreet.com·1d ago·neutral
Will Mortgage Rates Go Down to 5% in 2027? - Norada Real Estate Investments
Norada Real Estate Investments·2d ago·neutral
Wall Street ends down as traders see no rate cuts before 2027
Bing News·17d ago·bearish
Wall Street ends down as traders see no rate cuts before 2027 - reuters.com
reuters.com·17d ago·bearish
Experts warn property slowdown is already underway on back of latest rate hikes - realestate.com.au
realestate.com.au·17d ago·neutral
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